Election 2011: The Result
What an interesting election it has been. National comes out with a major majority, but struggles to create a coalition.
There is a couple very interesting electorates. Firstly, Christchurch Central – this is what usually is a Labour stronghold. As we stand now, we have no result. Both National and Labour’s candidates have the exact same number of votes. It’s not going to result in a by-election just yet. Firstly, we need to count the Special Votes – these are the votes that came from outside of the electorate, whether they be another electorate within New Zealand, or from outside of New Zealand. After this, there’s still the chance of a recount, and really, unless all of these votes are 80-90% for one candidate, that will happen regardless.
Another interesting electorate through the night was Waitakere. This electorate saw Paula Bennett and Carmel Sepuloni trading blows right up until the last minute, when Paula Bennett took the seat by 349 seats – a narrow majority that still may change with the counting of special votes.
Looking through the results, if Labour and Green Party supporters had voted strategically, we could be seeing Phil Goff as Prime Minister now. In Epsom, if Labour supporters had voted for Paul Goldsmith rather than David Parker, and Green Supporters had voted for Paul Goldsmith rather than David Hay, John Banks would not have won Epsom, things would have been very different. Not only that, but Labour could have formed a Government if that had happened as well as Green supporters voting for Charles Chauvel rather than Gareth Hughes in Ohariu – particularly considering Gareth Hughes only needed the Greens to get about about 7% for him to get in on the Party Vote, Peter Dunne would not have been successful. We need 61 seats to form a Government. National/ACT/United Future gives 62 seats. Take away John Banks and Peter Dunne, National only has 60 seats – not enough to form Government.
What also now doesn’t matter is whether John Key/John Banks did discuss Don Brash’s leadership of ACT, as he’s now resigned as leader, given he won’t be in Parliament, so it makes no sense for him to be in Parliament.
Having said that, there’s always the special votes. There’s about 220,000 of those. John Key is not necessarily Prime Minister at the end of this.
Posted on November 27, 2011, in New Zealand Politics and tagged ACT New Zealand, Brendan Burns, Carmel Sepuloni, Charles Chauvel, Christchurch Central Electorate, David Hay, Don Brash, Election 2011, Gareth Hughes, John Banks, John Key, New Zealand Labour Party, New Zealand National Party, Nicky Wagner, Paul Goldsmith, Paula Bennett, Peter Dunne, The Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand, United Future, Waitakere Electorate. Bookmark the permalink. 2 Comments.